Product Details
ISBN: 9780812973815
Category: Social Forecasting, Futurology
Format: Paperback
Publication Date: 2010-05-11
Publisher: Random House Publishing Group
Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable
A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from t