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Everything Is Predictable

Everything Is Predictable

How Bayes' Remarkable Theorem Explains the World

by Tom Chivers
Paperback
Publication Date: 29/07/2025

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A fascinating intellectual history that takes a comparatively little-known but important idea and shows how it affects huge areas of our lives

SHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024

'Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting . . . I finished it not only better informed about a captivating branch of mathematics, but with an invigorating sense of greater purchase on the world' OLIVER BURKEMAN

Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.

ISBN:
9781399604055
9781399604055
Category:
Bayesian inference
Format:
Paperback
Publication Date:
29-07-2025
Language:
English
Publisher:
Orion Publishing Group, Limited
Country of origin:
United Kingdom
Dimensions (mm):
198x129mm
Tom Chivers

Tom Chivers was BuzzFeed UK's science writer between 2015 and 2018. Before joining BuzzFeed, he spent seven years at the Telegraph, where he once interviewed Terry Pratchett and was told he was 'far too nice to be a journalist'.

He has struggled on despite this handicap, winning a British Health Journalism award and an American Psychological Society media award, being shortlisted for an Association of British Science Writers award and being highly commended in the Royal Statistical Society's annual journalism prizes.

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