UNESCO-IHE PhD Thesis
Hardback
Publication Date: 29/09/2017
Accurate predictions of storm surge are of importance in many coastal areas in the world to avoid and mitigate its destructive impacts. For this purpose the physically-based (process) numerical models are typically utilized. However, in data-rich cases, one may use data-driven methods aiming at reconstructing the internal patterns of the modelled processes and relationships between the observed descriptive variables. This book focuses on data-driven modelling using methods of nonlinear dynamics and chaos theory. First, some fundamentals of physical oceanography, nonlinear dynamics and chaos, computational intelligence and European operational storm surge models are covered. After that a number of improvements in building chaotic models are presented: nonlinear time series analysis, multi-step prediction, phase space dimensionality reduction, techniques dealing with incomplete time series, phase error correction, finding true neighbours, optimization of chaotic model, data assimilation and multi-model ensemble prediction. The major case study is surge prediction in the North Sea, with some tests on a Caribbean Sea case. The modelling results showed that the enhanced predictive chaotic models can serve as an efficient tool for accurate and reliable short and mid-term predictions of storm surges in order to support decision-makers for flood prediction and ship navigation.
- ISBN:
- 9781138475236
- 9781138475236
- Category:
- Oceanography (seas)
- Format:
- Hardback
- Publication Date:
- 29-09-2017
- Publisher:
- Taylor & Francis Ltd
- Country of origin:
- United Kingdom
- Pages:
- 200
- Dimensions (mm):
- 246x174mm
- Weight:
- 0.6kg
Click 'Notify Me' to get an email alert when this item becomes available
Great!
Click on Save to My Library / Lists
Click on Save to My Library / Lists
Select the List you'd like to categorise as, or add your own
Here you can mark if you have read this book, reading it or want to read
Awesome! You added your first item into your Library
Great! The fun begins.
Click on My Library / My Lists and I will take you there
Click on My Library / My Lists and I will take you there
You can find this item in:
Chaos theory
Oceanography (seas)
The environment
Civil engineering
Artificial intelligence
Water supply & treatment
Show more
Show less
Reviews
Be the first to review Predicting Storm Surges: Chaos.
Share This Book: