Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections

Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections

by Winfried Schröder and Gunther Schmidt
Epub (Kobo), Epub (Adobe)
Publication Date: 29/12/2015

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This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.

ISBN:
9783319038230
9783319038230
Category:
The environment
Format:
Epub (Kobo), Epub (Adobe)
Publication Date:
29-12-2015
Language:
English
Publisher:
Springer International Publishing

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